The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper?
This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disastersTheir impact is huge; they''re impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.
''Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person'' Will Self, Independent on Sunday
''He leaps like some superhero of the mind'' Boyd Tonkin, Independent
| Format |
Häftad |
| Omfång |
480 sidor |
| Språk |
Engelska |
| Förlag |
Penguin Books Ltd |
| Utgivningsdatum |
2008-02-28 |
| ISBN |
9780141034591 |
